Date: 2011-12-19 05:16 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] drdoug.livejournal.com
"Marriage is important because one in three couples who live together when a child is born split up before that child is five, compared to only one in 11 married couples."

Aaaaaaaaaaaargh!

I'll bet a pint that's not what the data they're referring to actually say. (Giving them the benefit of the doubt and assuming they are referring to actual data, rather than making it up out of whole cloth.)

And even if it is, there is a huge, huge inferential leap from that statement to it being a remotely good idea to provide a small financial incentive for people to get married.

(To be fair: Kudos for not saying 33% and 11%, and for not compounding their error by saying that couples living together are three times more likely to split up before their child is five than married couples. And the statement as written might well be true - marriage is clearly important and has that important association.)

Date: 2011-12-19 05:22 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] alitheapipkin.livejournal.com
The idea that marriage is a *cause* of stable relationships, rather than a result, always bemuses me. But the idea that bribing people into getting married is going to increase relationship stability is even more boggling.

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