andrewducker: (Default)
[personal profile] andrewducker

Rent

Date: 2021-06-02 03:47 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I think the better solution for the risk of rent default is probably some sort of insurance product. That would be better for cash flow and should actually cost what the risk of default actually is.

Re: Rent

Date: 2021-06-03 09:24 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
The ridiculousness or other wise of the price would hopefuly reflect the actual default risk.

I don't know what the default risk actually is or how lumpy it can be. A rare risk has a small average cost but that's not very helpful if it bankrupts you if it happens to you.

And it would make the costs and risks and benefits less asymmetric. Six moonths rent certainly solves the risk of default problem but it doesn't address the probabalistic or fractional nature of the problem and dumps grossly disproportionate costs on the renter I mean finding six months rent is a massive cashflow ask. Whilst from a profit and loss point of view prepaying rent is neutral actually find the cash is an entirely different strain on resources and relationships. And if everyone is doing that a lot of the time it shifts a big pile of cash around and over-solves the risk of default problem.

Woodlands

Date: 2021-06-02 03:48 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I like the focus on addressing the fragmentation issue when planting the woodlands around Glasgow.

David O Russell

Date: 2021-06-02 03:49 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I am beginging to wonder if part of the problem with the film and television industry is that employment is project based not organisation based.

Re: David O Russell

Date: 2021-06-02 04:36 pm (UTC)
movingfinger: (Default)
From: [personal profile] movingfinger
The problem is that studios keep hiring shitty people (99.99% of them white men) and not penalizing them for behaving like this. They would still hire them if they were employees, not independent contractors or free agents or whatever. Abuse happened under the old studio system where directors and actors were locked into contracts with one studio, too. The problem is the old boy network protecting its own in a culture of disrespect and abuse.

Re: David O Russell

Date: 2021-06-03 08:28 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
So why do they keep hiring them? And why do the other people on the project put up with it? I'm curious about what is structurally different about the film and television industry that makes it prone to bad behaviour.

Re: David O Russell

Date: 2021-06-03 02:01 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
That makes sense from a structural point of view.

Re: David O Russell

Date: 2021-06-03 02:32 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
Thnking a bit about it I think in the film industry quite a lot of the important stuff isn't the actual film making. Things like distribution rights, IP management, merchandising will be very important too. Important decision makers in those areas won't be anywhere near the junior members of the production team.

Beefing Up Security

Date: 2021-06-02 03:59 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
People are going to have to get pretty serious about cyber security pretty quickly I think.

Re: Beefing Up Security

Date: 2021-06-03 09:06 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
It's pretty clear that open season has been declared on a whole bunch of fairly mundane operations. Who'd have thought that the beef burger industry would be targeted by malware.

Re: Beefing Up Security

Date: 2021-06-03 09:32 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
LOL and that, but lots of industries have got money.

I mean its entirely obvious (in retrospect) that the target for financailly motivated malware attacks will be the organisations a) with some cash b) weak security and c) not likely to cause the President of the United States to drop a SEAL team on your head because you've closed half of his gas stations.

Re: Beefing Up Security

Date: 2021-06-03 09:58 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
On reflection I'm not sure I'm joking at all about the SEAL team - or local equivalent. I think being punched in the goolies by a beefy shouty sweaty angry man with a sub-machine gun might change the risk-reward profile a bit.

Unless we can get the ransomware people to target the bitcoin miners.

Media as a Core Part of Your Job

Date: 2021-06-02 04:02 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I am not convinced that talking to the media is not a core part of a professional sportsperson's job. Professional sports is an entertainment business and I think part of what the punters are paying for is some sort of connection to the players.

Re: Media as a Core Part of Your Job

Date: 2021-06-05 09:31 pm (UTC)
anef: (Default)
From: [personal profile] anef
I like watching tennis but I find the post-match interviews dull when not excruciating. The people who can cope with them basically spout bland rubbish, and I'm not interested in people crying or stalking off.

If Roland Garros were actually Osaka's employer she would probably have a lot more protection. As it is I expect she's on a short term contract.

I would have thought a reasonable position for the tournament organisers would be to say "OK, you provide us with a doctor's certificate to prove you have mental health problems, and we won't make you do the interviews."

Re: Media as a Core Part of Your Job

Date: 2021-06-06 08:55 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I definitely agree that sick notes are the way to manage exemptions from the public facing obligations.

I wonder what folk would think if the tournament organisers explicitly said - mental health is a health issue, no different than a sprained ankle,however we consider the public facing activities to be equally part of a player's participation in the tournament and just as you can't take part with a sprained ankle you can't take part with mental health issues that stop you attending post-match interviews. Because that seems to be the position they are moving towards.

Almost all sports players give very anodyne interviews and I suspect most of them consider their actual personality to be bad for business. And who can blame them.

Re: Media as a Core Part of Your Job

Date: 2021-06-06 10:33 am (UTC)
anef: (Default)
From: [personal profile] anef
Your second para is probably a clearer statement of the tournaments' postion than the sickening guff they have actually put out (as cited by 90 Degrees, below). A third iteration might be "the post match interviews are a significant contributor to our profits and we consider our profits to be more important than players' mental health".

Re: Media as a Core Part of Your Job

Date: 2021-06-06 10:43 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
Iterations 2 and 3 are pretty similar I think. The record of professional sports bodies taking effective action on health and safety issues is pretty mixed. Comparing, for example rugby union, soccer and Americal football's response to concussion or motorsport's adoption of firesuits.

Belarus

Date: 2021-06-02 04:04 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I wonder how much we fancy a war with Belarus? Not much I reckon. Do we have any sanctions left to impose?

Re: Belarus

Date: 2021-06-03 03:29 am (UTC)
dewline: Text - "On the DEWLine" (Default)
From: [personal profile] dewline
"...be reabsorbed by..."

Re: Belarus

Date: 2021-06-03 09:08 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
Do the people of Belarus generally want this?

Re: Belarus

Date: 2021-06-03 10:04 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
So we can expect a much longer NATO/EU border with Russia (de jure or de facto) in the 2020's and a bunch of refugee / economic migrants.

Fun times.

Nordlink

Date: 2021-06-02 04:06 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I'm very excited about Nordlink. There's a lot of hydro potential in Norway which will be very useful for long and short term grid balancing with non-despatchable renewables. And I'm in favour of the EU's amibition to have each national grid 10% interconnected with other neighbouring grids.

Re: Nordlink

Date: 2021-06-03 09:54 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I think not particularly closely - no more so than ususal.

My knowledge of this is a bit limited to the UK and somewhat out of date - but if the systems in other countries operated like the UK system used to do each interconnector termination acts as both an inputter and an offtaker from the Grid. The firm operating it would be a market participant in the local national grids electricity market (and presumably allied markets for fuels) and depending on the relative market prices would trade power volumes over different time horizons.

So the interconnector operator would look at the relative prices in Norway and Germany for winter and see that Norway's price was lower than Germany. They'd buy power in the Norweigan market and sell power in the German market and pocket the difference. In the UK you could do this up to 2 hours ahead of the actual physical delivery but I don't know how quickly you can change the direction of flow in a DC cable. But you could flex for on-the-day weather patterns and demand patterns.

Power in the UK was traded up to 3 years ahead of delivery.

This transaction above would see physical power moved from Norway to Germany, increasing the price in Norway a bit, lowering the price in Germany a bit. If the German price was now a bit lower than the Italian price the operator of the German-Italian interconnect (basically Switzerland) would buy German power and sell it in Italy.

So the market does the gross shifting of power from high-supply/low demand areas to high-demand/low supply areas (bearing in mind that the traders and operators across Europe well understand that wet winters in Norway mean that Norweigan hydro-power will be cheaper than Italian or Spanish CCGT generation and that a windy week in Germany means cheaper German power.)

The national Grid control centres don't need to manage the gross movements of power accross the borders too much and will use their own balancing services in country (batteries, pumped storage, CCGT's etc) to fine tune the actual balance on an hour by hour basis.

But if I'm power station operator in Spain or Italy looking at overcast weather at home and wind and rain in the North Sea I can guess that the interconnector operator will be trying to sell me Norweigan hydro-power and plan to switch off my CCGT for the day.

Tribal living

Date: 2021-06-02 04:16 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
That plan for some living space around a shared facilities is basically an updated, more private version of 1960's vintage commune isn't it?

Re: Tribal living

Date: 2021-06-03 10:06 am (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I reckon these sorts of things would be relatively easy to set up. Find some like minded pals and the right building / land. The difficult surely comes when people's circumstances change.

Date: 2021-06-02 04:46 pm (UTC)
cmcmck: (Default)
From: [personal profile] cmcmck
At that price, think I'll stick to my Kef's! :o)

Date: 2021-06-02 05:45 pm (UTC)
ninetydegrees: Art: self-portrait (Default)
From: [personal profile] ninetydegrees
"The mental health of players competing in our tournaments and on the tours is of the utmost importance to the grand slams. We, individually and collectively, have significant resources dedicated to player well-being.

“In order to continue to improve, however, we need engagement from the players to understand their perspective and find ways to improve their experiences."

This is such BS. What is there that they don't get exactly? Are they Naomi Osaka's caregivers? Are they Naomi Osaka? Nope. If she says media circus is detrimental to her mental health then it is. Period. I've liked this tournament less and less. This seals the deal.

Date: 2021-06-03 12:07 am (UTC)
ckd: (mit)
From: [personal profile] ckd
#3: Cool, my citation count just went up again! :-D

(I am, in a very minimal technical sense, a co-author on the original HGP paper in Nature. That gives me my one scientific publication and an Erdős number of three.)

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