Am I missing something in the new report on Brexit voting?

[andrewducker]

This piece talks about how the voting percentages weren't so bad for young voters as everyone thought, because actually 65% of registered young people (18-24) did vote.

What it completely fails to do is tell us what percentage of young people registered. Nowadays you need to register individually, and I would have assumed that less young people registered than average, so that 65% of "something" could be exactly the same as the "36% of young people voted", depending on registration levels.

Does anyone have access to the raw data behind this? Because right now the figures seem meaningless.

Comments

[matgb]

It would require doing some actual real research comparing real census data, double registrations (lots of students are registered at home and college address, I was), etc.

Which would require real actual funding. I would rather take this report than the YouGov on the day survey that said turnout was low for younger people but I doubt we'll actually know, as there's very little work done on under registration/no registration, and virtually zero research into how many people are legitimately double registered.

[andrewducker]

I'd settle for more detail from the dataset they have:
They asked whether people voted at polling stations or by post, whether they were registered but did not vote, and whether they were not registered at all.

Give me the figures from that, and it'd be a step in the right direction.

[matgb]

Agreed, it's done by Opinium so they'll have to publish eventually but there's allowed to be a delay for commissioning researchers to do their research first. Work's done by ECREP but their website is godawful and there's no sign of anything there, they are answering some questions on it in their Twitter but not in much detail.

Beyond that it's one of those wait for the full report jobs. Which'll probably be hidden somewhere and hard to locate if/when it's out.

[pseudomonas]

and by then the media digest of it will be Received Wisdom anyway and only a few wonks like us will care about the numbers :-/