Profits don't necessarily mean dividends - more and more companies are doing share buybacks instead of dividend payments, which has several advantages, including tax efficiency for shareholders (in many jurisdictions), perceived as less of a signal of Total Disaster if cut in later years, and directly increased share price - hence a harder takeover target (and less desirable since the cash pile is reduced). Oh, and of course, the execs might just have a direct incentive to raise the share price.
Also, in an economic downturn, an investment in expanding the business is a chancier proposition, but a share buyback is still guaranteed to raise the share price, and risk-averse execs might prefer to use cash for the safe option.
(I'm sure you know all this, and better than me - just expanding.)
Facebook opens up a whole world of valuation theory and practise.
If I were Zuckerman I'd take $50bn soon as look at you.
Personally I'd take less than an x8 multiplier of profit on Facebook. I think it is vulnerable to generic competition and therefore becoming a commodity.
no subject
Date: 2011-01-08 01:08 pm (UTC)Also, in an economic downturn, an investment in expanding the business is a chancier proposition, but a share buyback is still guaranteed to raise the share price, and risk-averse execs might prefer to use cash for the safe option.
(I'm sure you know all this, and better than me - just expanding.)
no subject
Date: 2011-01-10 04:49 pm (UTC)If I were Zuckerman I'd take $50bn soon as look at you.
Personally I'd take less than an x8 multiplier of profit on Facebook. I think it is vulnerable to generic competition and therefore becoming a commodity.