Date: 2021-12-10 12:04 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
The New Zealand cigarette thing is interesting.

I do have some concerns about a black market.

Date: 2021-12-10 01:12 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
I think that's the question.


If a black market supplies 1% of the population rather than a legal market supplying 5-10% of the population that's a health win.

What I don't know, having never been a smoker, is whether tobacco is "fun" enough to buy on the black market. Nicotine is very, very addictive, so I can see a reason for a black market for people who already smoke but would a 14 year old be tempted to try smoking compared to dope or ecstacy?

On the black market there's going to be tobacco in the country so the risk is probably diversion of legal supplies rather than smuggling I think. And I wonder what the margin is for selling illegal cigarettes rather than legal ones.

Date: 2021-12-10 02:16 pm (UTC)
dewline: Text - "On the DEWLine" (Default)
From: [personal profile] dewline
Or, alternatively, whether the black market in cigarettes can find space enough to run grow ops in Aotearoa/New Zealand...

Date: 2021-12-10 01:03 pm (UTC)
From: [personal profile] anna_wing
Smoking is really very easy to detect, though...

Date: 2021-12-10 01:22 pm (UTC)
danieldwilliam: (Default)
From: [personal profile] danieldwilliam
Easier than smoking dope do you think?

Date: 2021-12-12 08:48 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] anna_wing
Really depends on cost-benefit. How much NZ is willing to enforce and at what level of penalties, plus transport costs, against the size of the market and the level of likely profit. I have long wondered whether jurisdictions that legalise cannabis will impose the same restrictions on smoking it as are imposed on smoking tobacco, and whether eventually the same level of social opprobrium will also eventually be applied. Secondhand smoking of cannabis would surely have very similar problems to second-hand smoking of cigarettes.

I was told that in Singapore, due to very high duties on cigarettes and a ban on vaping, cigarette smuggling is popular, because the profit is decent, and it is not directly life-threatening the way that smuggling cannabis or heroin or any other proscribed drug would be (Singapore has a mandatory death penalty beyond certain quantities of the pure material).
Edited Date: 2021-12-12 10:10 am (UTC)

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