The reason I didn't post a poll about Scottisn Independence last week is
that I couldn't face the ensuing debate. The referendum almost certainly
isn't going to be for another three and a half years and any discussion now
will be reconsidered, reversed, reiterated, and generally be out of date
come that point. I actually hope that setting a date means that we can
stop thinking about it for at least two of those years and move on to
talking about other things.
What _does_ fascinate me is the politics around it, the manouvering, the
reactions to it, etc. The people-watching parts are currently far more
interesting to me than the thing itself. Once it's less than a year away
it will feel worthwhile having an opinion that goes further than "There
should be a referendum so that a decision can be made." For now, I'll
stick to being amused at the press tying itself in knots trying to work out
what it thinks.
that I couldn't face the ensuing debate. The referendum almost certainly
isn't going to be for another three and a half years and any discussion now
will be reconsidered, reversed, reiterated, and generally be out of date
come that point. I actually hope that setting a date means that we can
stop thinking about it for at least two of those years and move on to
talking about other things.
What _does_ fascinate me is the politics around it, the manouvering, the
reactions to it, etc. The people-watching parts are currently far more
interesting to me than the thing itself. Once it's less than a year away
it will feel worthwhile having an opinion that goes further than "There
should be a referendum so that a decision can be made." For now, I'll
stick to being amused at the press tying itself in knots trying to work out
what it thinks.
no subject
Date: 2012-01-16 12:56 pm (UTC):D
Also watching the media. Seeing the same bit of news spun from multiple angles is fascinating.
And of course there are already 'what would independence mean for Scotland?' from a variety of angles. Read one on the BBC website from the economics perspective and the main response seems to be, 'dunno yet.'
98% of this is spin.
no subject
Date: 2012-01-16 01:00 pm (UTC)To some people the answer is a clear yes (after all, we wouldn't have a Conservative government up here). To others it's a clear no (because they feel very similar to our English/Welsh/NI brethren).
To some people the idea is just a scary one - and those are the ones that Alex Salmond is more likely to get by placing the referendum later - the more time people have to adjust to an idea the more likely they are to decide it's not as scary as they thought (provided, of course, that Scotland doesn't fuck up the Commonwealth games preparations and show that they're incapable of organising a piss-up in a brewery).
no subject
Date: 2012-01-16 01:19 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-01-16 07:01 pm (UTC)At least the Commonwealth games up here might not fail the pollution standards that I'm sure I saw something suggesting the Olympics would.
no subject
Date: 2012-01-17 11:57 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-01-17 11:58 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-01-17 12:15 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-01-17 12:25 pm (UTC)Seriously, that's part of my inclination to vote for Independence. It an opportunity to live in a more democratic polity sooner. I think independence for Scotland might be easier to achieve than electoral reform for the UK.
But that’s not the only reason I’m broadly in favour. I think it would take some decent evidence that independence would be economically pretty bad for Scotland before I changed my mind but I’m open to the debate and looking forward to it. I may even try and contribute something to it – once I’m a bit better.
no subject
Date: 2012-01-17 12:30 pm (UTC)So far as I can tell, everything else will be much the same. And it means I can stop worrying about the idiots at Westminster. Which would make me happy.
no subject
Date: 2012-01-17 12:31 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-01-17 01:34 pm (UTC)We're not going to turn into an oil sheikdom or a renewable energy sheikdom (and if we do things elsewhere are not so good).
So it's a marginal decision in my view. Which is why I think my dad is much less excited about the whole thing than I am - he sees it as a distraction from the real issues.
no subject
Date: 2012-01-18 12:04 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-01-18 12:26 pm (UTC)I think the costs of renewable energy, relative to the price of energy, are pretty close. Energy prices are mainly determined by the price of gas at the moment and renewable energy costs are pretty close to the wholesale energy price. So there isn’t a whacking great superprofit from renewable energy for a putative Scottish government to take a share of and use to pay for public services, physical captial or invest in a sovereign wealth fund. What they will get is increased taxation from locally based renewables service enterprises and from employees and, I hope, a fall in the welfare bill as employment goes up.
As renewables become cheaper, as the price of gas and carbon goes up and the price of wholesale energy rises and the renewables industry in Scotland takes off it will be very valuable to us providing well paid jobs and a secure source of energy that will encourage industry to locate in Scotland. All good. Not all of the jobs will be in Scotland. Not all of the profits will stay in Scotland. Not all of the value created by the renewables sector will be available for the Scottish Government to tax.
I think it will be a different experience to Norway’s or the Saudis’. I might argue better for us morally to work hard and earn a good living than stumble over a windfall and not have to earn it.
no subject
Date: 2012-01-18 01:14 pm (UTC)http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/business-news/2012/01/17/alex-salmond-signs-renewable-energy-deal-with-abu-dhabi-based-company-86908-23704211/
no subject
Date: 2012-01-18 01:14 pm (UTC)http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/business-news/2012/01/17/alex-salmond-signs-renewable-energy-deal-with-abu-dhabi-based-company-86908-23704211/
no subject
Date: 2012-01-18 01:42 pm (UTC)Mazdar is a strange place I think. I'd like to go and see if it really is a giant white elephant, the future of the future or just some place that sort of works like most of the rest of the world.
no subject
Date: 2012-01-18 04:28 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-01-18 04:45 pm (UTC)