Date: 2011-10-03 10:10 pm (UTC)
supergee: (cazzo)
From: [personal profile] supergee
Perry really is stupider than Dubya.

Date: 2011-10-03 10:47 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] major-clanger.livejournal.com
That story on legal statistics is depressingly misleading - I'd hoped for better from Guardian - as the ruling said nothing at all about whether Bayes' Theorem was right or not. Rather, the court expressed concern about how valid its application was given issues about the assumed probability distributions.

The actual judgment, which again I am disappointed to see that the story doesn't refer to, is available at BAILII. It's redacted to protect T's identity, but the full discussion of statistics and evidence is all there.

Date: 2011-10-03 10:55 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] philmophlegm.livejournal.com
I was interviewed by a journalist looking to dig up some dirt about George Osborne on Saturday. I'll post about it if I get the chance tomorrow.

Date: 2011-10-03 11:24 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] steer.livejournal.com
Seriously that guardian article about statistics and the courtroom is extremely annoying. It completely confuses Bayes Theorem (uncontroversial established fact) with Bayesian statistics (controversial way of doing things where the outcome relies on your prior belief). I looked a the judgement made which actually seems to be about Bayesian statistics not about Bayes Theorem -- hard to tell as it is highly redacted.

But the guardian article... nightmare. It talks about two things, one 100% correct the other 100% contravesial and doesn't realise they are different because they have very similar names.

Date: 2011-10-04 05:33 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] undeadbydawn.livejournal.com
The Onion:

continually pointing out that The Stupid is there, but really doesn't have to be.
i find the closing statement particularly poignant.

and speaking of which, I haven't checked how BP's legal action against Halliburton is going. That whole 'hire the worlds most incompetent contractor to oversee site safety' thing didn't work out too well.

Date: 2011-10-04 12:03 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] momentsmusicaux.livejournal.com
Just about any fiction with time travel ends up inventing a sort of meta-time.

Eg, the Cybermen are in the year 1800 and the Doctor is in the present. Stuff happens in one timeline that progressively affects the current one. Hence there's a meta-time that changes to the timeline take place in...

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