andrewducker: (Default)
[personal profile] andrewducker
I keep seeing articles talking about alliances between the Lib Dems and Conservatives, either for the next election, or for the Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election that's happening a week today. In the latter case, many of the Conservatives basically seem to be saying "We don't have a chance of winning, so you Tory voters should vote LibDem instead, so that Labour don't win."

Not only do I disagree over there being alliances over elections (because it denies people a free choice), but I object to the fact that the current system encourages them. If we had AV then Conservative voters could vote the way they want to (Conservative) and then vote Lib-Dem as a second choice _if that's what they want_. Similarly, Lib-Dem voters could vote Lib-Dem first, and then either Conservative or Labour depending on which they preferred as a second-choice, etc., etc.

That way the parties could concentrate on standing for themselves, and not what other parties are doing, and electoral bargaining could at least wait until _after_ the votes were in.

As it is, the election results won't actually tell us what the honest choices of the electorate are. People will be voting tactically, to keep out the people they oppose, based on guesswork over who has the most chance of winning. It's a horribly broken system.

(Not that I think that AV is the bees knees, but it's decidedly better than FPTP. I think my ideal system would probably be AV with an AMS top-up, but that's a completely different debate.)

Date: 2011-01-06 03:07 pm (UTC)
matgb: Artwork of 19th century upper class anarchist, text: MatGB (Default)
From: [personal profile] matgb
If you chance it to one more than they got last time, minimum, then it would be viable and work.

But insisting all parties put up more candidates than there are total seats, despite the odds of any party getting even 50% of the votes being small, is going to substantially increase voter confusion, decrease the chances of minority candidates and create havoc.

Masses of studies (and [livejournal.com profile] nwhyte knows a lot more about this than I) indicate that parties that put forward too many candidates lose out as voters simply stop numbering in order of preference past a certain point.

That's why Australia introduced the 'above the line' party agreed distribution for STV Senate eletions.

Essentially, if the party is likely to win 1, and could possibly win 2 seats, then putting two candidates forward fulfills your criteria of 'no safe seats' and ensures they work.

One of the biggest critiques of STV I've read for Ireland is the parochialism it encourages, MPs have to keep working, constantly, because they know they can lose out. Lord Trimble thinks that's a bad thing (in fact, all his objections struck me as being bloody good reasons for, but different worldviews are interesting to encounter).

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