Independence Predictions

[andrewducker]

I would be unsurprised by anything between 45% Yes and 52% Yes. I am hoping it comes in over 50%, but expecting it to be around 48%.

I'm guessing at 85% turnout, and very happy about that.

I'm hazarding a stab in the dark that the "extra powers for Scotland" will turn out to be entirely illusory.

I predict that 95% of people who have been politically motivated over the last three months will stop doing so as of tomorrow. Which is a massive shame - if we could raise this level of interest over politics across the UK then I'd be a very happy person.

Comments

[rmc28]

if we could raise this level of interest over politics across the UK

M'mother always says: people turn out to vote when it seems that their vote matters and will make a difference. I actually think people really are interested in politics, but often feel that their vote makes no difference. (and the reasons they feel that way are firmly on the political/media class for increasingly fighting over tiny differences in policy and personality)

[j_v_lynch]

I was just about to comment with almost the same opinion. Why vote when the outcome is the same regardless?