andrewducker (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
andrewducker) wrote2019-01-15 08:15 pm
andrewducker) wrote2019-01-15 08:15 pm
Brexit intensifies
So, today the only government ever to be found in contempt of parliament lost a vote by the largest margin ever suffered by a British government, losing by 230 votes (previous "winner" was Ramsay Macdonald's minority Labour government, losing by 166 votes).
Immediately afterwards, Corbyn lodged a vote of no confidence in the government. The DUP have said they will back the Conservatives, which almost certainly means that the vote will fail*.
The EU wants us to make our mind up, and has now repeatedly said that the withdrawal deal is not open for renegotiation. Which greatly reduces the options we have remaining. So once we the no confidence fails I can't see what else Labour can do but move towards a second referendum.
Which is, according to all recent polls, what the people want. (46% to 28% last I checked).
*It's _possible_ that a few Conservatives will rebel. But incredibly unlikely.
Immediately afterwards, Corbyn lodged a vote of no confidence in the government. The DUP have said they will back the Conservatives, which almost certainly means that the vote will fail*.
The EU wants us to make our mind up, and has now repeatedly said that the withdrawal deal is not open for renegotiation. Which greatly reduces the options we have remaining. So once we the no confidence fails I can't see what else Labour can do but move towards a second referendum.
Which is, according to all recent polls, what the people want. (46% to 28% last I checked).
*It's _possible_ that a few Conservatives will rebel. But incredibly unlikely.
no subject
Julian Smith is clearly a terribly Chief Whip and she was foolish to promote Williamson.
no subject
My private calibration was that 200+ represented a Terrible Night for the Conservative Party. 230 was, well I genuinely had to blink before I believed it.
The whips have either called in every favour and made every threat and it's not worked or they have given up and cooked up a deal about the VONC.
Williamson is less than awesome. In a cabinet of mediocrities who are hamstrung by their own civil ware he fails to shine.
no subject
Oh, he's horrid - both nasty and stupid. But I think those are assets in a chief whip. He wouldn't have presided over a defeat of this magnitude.