andrewducker: (Default)
andrewducker ([personal profile] andrewducker) wrote2019-01-15 08:15 pm

Brexit intensifies

So, today the only government ever to be found in contempt of parliament lost a vote by the largest margin ever suffered by a British government, losing by 230 votes (previous "winner" was Ramsay Macdonald's minority Labour government, losing by 166 votes).

Immediately afterwards, Corbyn lodged a vote of no confidence in the government. The DUP have said they will back the Conservatives, which almost certainly means that the vote will fail*.

The EU wants us to make our mind up, and has now repeatedly said that the withdrawal deal is not open for renegotiation. Which greatly reduces the options we have remaining. So once we the no confidence fails I can't see what else Labour can do but move towards a second referendum.

Which is, according to all recent polls, what the people want. (46% to 28% last I checked).

*It's _possible_ that a few Conservatives will rebel. But incredibly unlikely.
alithea: Annie from Being Human UK TV show standing in a room with her back to camera with "there's an art to being human" slogan (Being human (base by ahlai))

[personal profile] alithea 2019-01-16 11:44 am (UTC)(link)
The only fly in that ointment is that I think a substantial minority of indy supporters don't want to be in the EU either. Mind you, if we crash out with no deal I expect the resulting chaos will soon make more or less everyone in Scotland decide they're done with being ruled from Westminster!