andrewducker: (Default)
andrewducker ([personal profile] andrewducker) wrote2004-11-02 08:36 am

My election prediction

Bush will get in, because not enough people are that fed up with Bush.

Things will get worse, with Bush pushing rightwards and christianwards until so many people are fed up that the next election is a landslide for the Democrats.

This will change the face of US politics in 4 years time, with the populace at large being less trusting of any political party.

[identity profile] stillcarl.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 12:54 am (UTC)(link)
My prediction's here, second post...

http://flyingmice.com/cgi-bin/squidcgi/mbthread.pl/general/expand/19527

('tis a fun playhouse;)

Someone said that what those outside the US don't get about this election is that Americans are worried about security, not about Iraq. Looked at from that angle, no terrorist attacks on US soil since 9/11 equals success for Bush.

Still, I think Kerry will win, as I'm sure enough Americans are worried about the course Bush is on to switch to Kerry, as Kerry has come across as competent and, in a goofy kind of way, likable. (Plus he's taller than Bush;)

[identity profile] jbru.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 12:57 am (UTC)(link)
Fear not. Have a look at http://www.electoral-vote.com, the opinion polls just prior to the actual election have Kerry leading by 298 electoral votes to 231 (270 needed to be elected). I'm an optimistic Kerry supporter and will be out there, with my fellows, voting!

[identity profile] communicator.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 01:45 am (UTC)(link)
Well, I hope you are wrong, but I'm not confident that my alternative prediction is right.

[identity profile] adders.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 03:00 am (UTC)(link)
with Bush pushing rightwards and christianwards

You know, if he really pressed Christianwards - love thy neighbour, turn the other cheek, love others, all the fundemental points of the faith - people would apprive of him a whole lot more.

What I suspect you mean is that he'll push more towards that odd, US brand of right wing pseudo Christianity that owes as much to christianity as Osama Bin Laden's version of jihad bears to Islam.

[identity profile] the-gardener.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 03:21 am (UTC)(link)
A rash prediction, just like the kind I make. But I think you're right (about this year's outcome, at any rate), and that Bush will squeak back after various challenges, disputed recounts, and dodgy judicial rulings -- just like last time.

[identity profile] missedith01.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 03:24 am (UTC)(link)
Please, no. It would be too big an affront to my belief in humanity.

[identity profile] tisme.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 05:48 am (UTC)(link)
Yeh. *sigh* It's gonna suck.

[identity profile] perceval.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 06:45 am (UTC)(link)
well, if the resulting change is for the better - I hope JFK will win

Not that I'm American, but..

[identity profile] laserboy.livejournal.com 2004-11-02 11:27 am (UTC)(link)
I really hope Bush gets booted out.

And then it'll be Mr Blair's turn. There's no way he's getting my vote.