People of Scotland - be grateful for vaccines!

[andrewducker]

Here's the last thirty days of case numbers in Scotland.

It would be very worrying if it wasn't for the vaccines clearly working remarkably well.



As it is, hospital and ICU admissions have been basically umoving over this time, and it may well remain under control on that front, particularly if we continue to vaccinate at a reasonable speed (second vaccines are remaining at 75 days after first vaccines, where they have been for a long while, and that should mean that second-vaccinations drop in a few days time, freeing up more capacity for first-vaccinations).

Graph as usual is from https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/ - UK-wide figures are also there, but most of the UK is managing to avoid a third wave right now. It's clearly dramatically worse in the North-West than anywhere else.

Comments

[danieldwilliam]

I think if I'm reading that chart correctly case numbers are picking up less in the age-groups most likely to be vaccinated. Pretty flat 65+ but sharply up in the 20-24 age group.

Which would jive with the vaccines being effective at reducing transmission as well as reducing actute illness.

So, pretty much a footrace between vaccine roll out and the Indian variant.

[alithea]

That would be my reading of it too.

[danieldwilliam]

I'm always relieved when I reach the same conclusion as you.

[alithea]

That's very nice of you to say 😁

[mellowtigger]

Numbers are looking good here in Minnesota too. This downward trend coincides with the summer season, though, so I'll wait to see data in August before conceding that maybe it's finally "over" here.