andrewducker: (Default)
andrewducker ([personal profile] andrewducker) wrote2018-12-10 05:34 pm

Brexit: What next?

So, the vote is off. Which means it can't be amended.

When does May bring forward the vote - which needs to be passed for the deal to take hold?

If I was in her shoes, and I _really_ wanted the vote to pass, I'd schedule it in for March 28th, the day before Brexit day. Basically saying "You either vote this through or it's No Deal".

But if she does that, how long until enough of the DUP and her own party decide that this is so self-destructive that it's worth a vote of confidence?

(I'm not sure what she thinks she's going to get from the EU which will make people happier about the backstop.)
calimac: (Default)

[personal profile] calimac 2018-12-10 09:33 pm (UTC)(link)
Well, a non-party leader national unity PM is an interesting notion. Some parliamentary countries do that pretty often; last time the UK did was in 1940. Will this situation be enough to focus the attention like that, and is there an obvious enough candidate?
skington: (yum)

[personal profile] skington 2018-12-10 09:53 pm (UTC)(link)
This is basically as productive as fans’ casting threads, but Kenneth Clarke might be a decent side-bet, as a Tory with no personal ambition who's respected by moderates on both sides of the House?