andrewducker: (Default)
andrewducker ([personal profile] andrewducker) wrote2018-12-10 05:34 pm

Brexit: What next?

So, the vote is off. Which means it can't be amended.

When does May bring forward the vote - which needs to be passed for the deal to take hold?

If I was in her shoes, and I _really_ wanted the vote to pass, I'd schedule it in for March 28th, the day before Brexit day. Basically saying "You either vote this through or it's No Deal".

But if she does that, how long until enough of the DUP and her own party decide that this is so self-destructive that it's worth a vote of confidence?

(I'm not sure what she thinks she's going to get from the EU which will make people happier about the backstop.)
rangifer: (Default)

[personal profile] rangifer 2018-12-10 07:59 pm (UTC)(link)
Unfortunately for fans of high drama everywhere, May's vote probably can't be March 28th because the whole stack of paper still needs to be cleared by the European parliament, and it takes a bit of time to go through those motions.
Edited 2018-12-10 20:00 (UTC)
jack: (Default)

[personal profile] jack 2018-12-10 08:22 pm (UTC)(link)
I *think* that if parliament get nervous enough, they can raise an article 50 extension/revocation bill without needing the government's connivance, or so civil-service-y friends made it sound. I don't know how long that takes, e.g. seeing the procedural farce going on with this vote, I think there's a lot of manoeuvring around what's brought to the vote, but if enough MPs want it, I think it can get voted on somehow. But I'm really confused about what's possible and what isn't.
supergee: (coy2)

[personal profile] supergee 2018-12-11 12:00 pm (UTC)(link)
I keep remembering that after Boaty McBoatface, but before Votey McVoteface, you said, "Never open a poll to the general public if the results are going to be used for anything." Well done, sir.
mair_in_grenderich: (Default)

[personal profile] mair_in_grenderich 2018-12-11 01:47 pm (UTC)(link)
I think it has now been confirmed that she has to bring it to vote by 21st January. Which is quite late enough to cause problems for alternatives.