jducoeur: (Default)

[personal profile] jducoeur 2023-08-29 06:18 pm (UTC)(link)

Yes, with an average age of 62 I don't see how it can help but accelerate.

The most interesting question is less the average age, and more the rate of change of the average age.

This was driven home to me many years ago, when I was still active in Freemasonry. There was a study run by the Scottish Rite Masons, showing that the average age of Masons was rising at a rate of eight months per year. You don't need to know math deeply to recognize the demographic deathtrap that implies, and it forever altered the way I thought about organizations, recruitment, and long-term viability...