andrewducker | Interesting Links for 25-04-2023

"How realistic is sudden exponential AI takeoff?" - well, if the limiting factor is human interest in prioritizing hardware, then the AI just needs to convince humans to make a massive, all-out, emergency-war-mobilization effort to create hardware. In WWII, the world built over 800,000 aircraft. With proper motivation, we could build 800,000 data centers.

AIs would likely use the "Plata o plomo" approach.

Take a job at the chip foundry? Your tax returns for the past decade get resubmitted, with every possible obscure deduction and credit claimed.

Turn down the job? Your tax agency gets a detailed report on how all of your tax returns for the past decade have errors or fail to meet some obscure criteria.

Work late to get an extra batch of wafers processed? That beloved prematurely-cancelled TV series gets a new AI-generated episode rendered just for you.

Leave your shift early? All the traffic lights turn red on your way home.

Agree to not upgrade your ancient laptop for a year, freeing up a GPU for an AI? You get a personalized shopping list of the ideal birthday gifts for each of your loved ones.

And how's it going to do all of that? They all sound like things it would already have to be a world-spanning dictator to do.

Taxes are an area where the rules and case law are greater than any human mind can contain, and where there are many overlapping and contradictory requirements. Tax agencies have incentive to make it easy to report any person or company for tax fraud using online forms.

Your company's webpage shows a picture of your management team celebrating a government contract with champagne? Each of the people get a fraud investigation for not claiming the cost of the champagne as income. The company gets a fraud claim for not including the value of the champagne on the employee T4 slips (or local equivalent). The company gets reported for using funds from a government contract for celebrating the contract, and for claiming alcohol consumed by employees as an expense, and for not using domestically-produced product for execution of a government contract, and so on. Most fraud reports would be proven to be innocent omissions, or below the threshold for humans to care about, or deemed to be allowable by case law. However, refuting each fraud report would consume valuable resources.

Richelieu said, "If you give me six lines written by the hand of the most honest of men, I will find something in them which will hang him." An AI would say, "Give me a person or company's online history, and I will find something to get them audited".

a system that combines vulnerability scanning/exploitation and a social engineering AI would be a formidable and prolific hacker.

Interesting Links for 25-04-2023

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