Your first link has renewables as a percentage of world energy use at 13.5% - I wonder where the difference is.
As you say, solar has gone from 65TWh to 1,032TWh in the last 10 years. That's an increase of 15x. The same increase again would be to 15,000TWh, and again would be 225,000TWh. So if we keep increasing at the same rate we have been over the last ten years then in 20 years' time we'll get there with solar alone.
Wind, going from 440TWh to 1,861TWh, is an increase of about 4x. So another 2 decades would increase that by only about 16x. Which is only about 30TWh in total.
Of course, scaling is very rarely as simple as that, and solar might hit an inflection point in its growth, while wind might take off at a higher rate. But even so that looks pretty hopeful to me.
(Over the last 5 years solar has trebled. Which would still mean about 10,000TWh by 2031, and around 100,000TWh by 2041. Those sound like good figures to me. All figures from here.)
no subject
As you say, solar has gone from 65TWh to 1,032TWh in the last 10 years. That's an increase of 15x. The same increase again would be to 15,000TWh, and again would be 225,000TWh. So if we keep increasing at the same rate we have been over the last ten years then in 20 years' time we'll get there with solar alone.
Wind, going from 440TWh to 1,861TWh, is an increase of about 4x. So another 2 decades would increase that by only about 16x. Which is only about 30TWh in total.
Of course, scaling is very rarely as simple as that, and solar might hit an inflection point in its growth, while wind might take off at a higher rate. But even so that looks pretty hopeful to me.
(Over the last 5 years solar has trebled. Which would still mean about 10,000TWh by 2031, and around 100,000TWh by 2041. Those sound like good figures to me. All figures from here.)