andrewducker: (Default)
andrewducker ([personal profile] andrewducker) wrote2022-03-17 12:22 pm
danieldwilliam: (Default)

[personal profile] danieldwilliam 2022-03-18 03:04 pm (UTC)(link)
I don't think "as fast as I safely could" exists so long as Russia is able to negotiate Ukraine not joining NATO.

If Russia can insist today on Ukraine not joining Russia then they then still have great power status and we have lost the one chance we will have to remove it from them.

If they are left with any bargaining positioning (other than the threat of the use of nuclear weapons) at the end of this conflict they are going to remove the ability of the West to hurt them through sanctions and then try again for Ukraine, and the probably the Baltics states.

The best way to get an organisation to change is to give it an existential scare but then leave it intact to reform itself.