danieldwilliam: (Default)

[personal profile] danieldwilliam 2022-01-20 03:01 pm (UTC)(link)
Yes, but I think mortgage payments are stickier than rent. Both in terms of market and contract situations and also because Rent = Mortgage plus Maintenance plus Profit and therefore rent includes mortgage interest in itself whereas Mortgage don't include a profit element paid to the owner of the house.

I can't remember the name for the type of good that housing is but one its features is that people will generally pay the most they can afford in order to have a relatively better house (close to schools, shops, lower crime rates etc) and I think that has an impact on the price elasticity and stickiness of rent.
aldabra: (Default)

[personal profile] aldabra 2022-01-20 03:03 pm (UTC)(link)
I've been expecting for a long time that the thing that will burst the housing bubble is food and fuel price rises. Housing has absorbed all the spare money while food and fuel have been absurdly cheap by historical standards, but food and fuel are much less elastic. And the housing market is highly leveraged; when it contracts it can contract a very long way.

But I expected it to be triggered by peak oil and climate change; I thought the pestilence would be along later.