andrewducker | Interesting Links for 04-09-2021

This is the best thing I've seen on the subject.

https://twitter.com/dgurdasani1/status/1346362159446577154

Thank you!

Sorry for all the edits as I'm reading more data. My issue with this thread is that it takes data showing that closing schools is effective and jumps to the conclusion that 'children & schools have always played an important role in transmission.' Here's what the ECDC has to say about these two topics:

'It has generally been concluded that SARS-CoV-2 transmission in school settings is not a primary determinant of community transmission. During first and second waves of the pandemic, research showed limited spread of SARS-CoV-2 in schools. While outbreaks have been documented in preschools, primary schools and secondary schools, it has also been generally observed that there are low secondary attack rates in these settings when appropriate mitigation measures are in place, and that the risk of students affecting family members is also diminished if effective combinations of in-school mitigation measures are in place.'

At the same time: 'The evidence on effectiveness of school closures have been highlighted in previous ECDC reports. Based on assessments from the first waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, school closures were generally assessed to contribute to a reduction in SARS-CoV-2 transmission but not deemed sufficient to prevent the spread of COVID19. The effectiveness of school closures is likely driven by two factors. Firstly, children at home have fewer social contacts, secondly and, potentially more significantly, school closures have the indirect impact of parents needing to stay home with their children and thus curtailing their social mixing. Importantly however, models have not generally been able to decipher between these two factors.'

I suggest reading the whole report because it is way more comprehensive and nuanced than what I just quoted (https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/children-and-school-settings-covid-19-transmission)

Edited 2021-09-05 00:04 (UTC)

Interesting Links for 04-09-2021

no subject

no subject

no subject