andrewducker: (Default)
andrewducker ([personal profile] andrewducker) wrote2019-01-17 11:03 am
danieldwilliam: (Default)

[personal profile] danieldwilliam 2019-01-18 10:18 am (UTC)(link)
Aye - it is the logical conclusion of what he's asked for. Cetainly absent anything else happening.


Unilaterally revoking the Article 50 notification on Brexit Day -1 looks like the only way within the UK's control that guarantees no EU exit with No Deal.

But I think there some processes between now and then - such as returning to negotiations having decided to solve the on-going honouring of the Good Friday Agreement by staying in the Single Market. Which is more likely if Corbyn can extract a binding promise from the Government that there will be no No Deal as this forces Brexiteers to conceed that the only way they get Brexit is if they can get a deal through Parliament and the Brexiteers ought to realise that May's harder line deal would have to softened by becoming a deal that shapes the UK for membership of the EEA. Brexiteers wouldn't like that but the slippery careerist ones like Johnson might be persuaded to go for it, especially if it destroys May in the process.

I wish I believed that Corbyn fully understood this. At best I think he is trying to worry at the Tory Party by getting the various factions to fray. At worst I think he's not really through this through or has some Lexit scheme of his own.
drplokta: (Default)

[personal profile] drplokta 2019-01-18 10:41 am (UTC)(link)
There’s no possibility of concluding negotiations to stay in the single market before Brexit day, and so even if that becomes our intention, the backstop is still required in case the negotiations fail. It changes the non-binding political declaration, but not the withdrawal agreement.
danieldwilliam: (Default)

[personal profile] danieldwilliam 2019-01-18 10:49 am (UTC)(link)
I think in practice the two documents are too heavily linked not to be treated as one.

The Irish border backstop is only contentious is you intend not to be in the Single Market. if you intend to be in the Single Market you have already agreed that the UK will not be making bilateral trade agreeement and that it is easy for Northern Ireland to be in the same market as both Ireland (GFA requirement) and Great Britain (DUP requirement).

One is essentailly bringing forward the moment when Hard Brexiteers have lost and know they have lost.