andrewducker: (Default)
andrewducker ([personal profile] andrewducker) wrote2012-03-06 11:00 am

[identity profile] gwern branwen (from livejournal.com) 2012-03-09 04:40 am (UTC)(link)
> One central claim necessary before your argument is that evolution is not currently increasing our intelligence.

That's not necessary at all. The argument is simple: any increase to intelligence will have one of a few properties, or else evolution would already have increased it.

Intelligence could be increasing... as long as the increases had one of the properties.

> The Flynn effect (whatever it is) is certainly much larger than this. So before you begin your essay on "why evolution cannot increase our intelligence" you must first show it is not doing so. You really cannot -- if there were an underlying evolutionary change on an evolutionary timescale it would be so small it would be absolutely swamped by the astoundingly rapid changes in human IQ.

Already addressed Flynn. So your whole objection comes down to 'there might be some process operating now', which is just an argument from ignorance?

> Why -- what is your evidence for this? And remember, fitness here is evolutionary fitness, not fitness for being smart, not fitness for earing money, not fitness for qualifying for Harvard. Do you have any evidence whatsoever that more intelligent people have more children?

I don't. All my evidence points strongly in the other direction - exactly consistent with what I just said, about the fitness neutrality being extremely unlikely, and increases either being fit or unfit. If merely somewhat smart people *already* suffer big fitness penalties as evidenced by low fertility, then that makes it even *less* likely that being 10x smarter would be exactly fitness neutral!

Re:

[identity profile] steer.livejournal.com 2012-03-09 09:17 am (UTC)(link)
If evolution is already increasing intelligence then your argument becomes, there may well be simple ways to increase intelligence with small changes and evolution is currently finding them. As the true situation is that we do not know, the only possible argument is "we cannot possibly tell from evolution if there are simple ways to increase intelligence because we do not know if evolution is currently increasing or decreasing it."

I do not think we are going to agree on the other matter of the fitness neutrality of intelligence.