Monty Hall

[andrewducker]

[Poll #1770413]

Explanation

I have known what the answer was for ages, but for some reason it only "clicked" in my head today. You can blame sarahs_muse for triggering it.

Comments

[andrewducker]

There is belief involved, but there is no faith. One can believe true things. In fact, on my philosophy courses the best definition that I encountered for knowledge was "justified, true, belief".

[theweaselking.livejournal.com]

I still don't like the term used here, as "believe" can also be in something untrue.

[andrewducker]

Yup. But as people on both sides would presumably think that their belief was true, using anything stronger would just have made people on the wrong side even more wrong :->

[theweaselking.livejournal.com]

I probably would have worded it as "switching is beneficial" versus "switching is not beneficial" versus "monty who?"

[andrewducker]

Yeah, that works better.

[spacelem.livejournal.com]

Bayesian statistics uses the phrase "prior belief" all the time.