ext_205124 ([identity profile] dalglir.livejournal.com) wrote in [personal profile] andrewducker 2011-11-25 02:10 pm (UTC)

Let's see how far we can take this analogy :)

Let's say risk of 'complication' from rogue police sniper is 1% in an apartment block 45 minutes from the hospital and a hospital block being terrorised by another rogue police sniper.

What the statistics of the study say is that, for people who have already been shot by a rogue police sniper once before ~45% of the unlucky 1% who get shot back at the apartment block end up have to go to hospital anyway (albeit mostly for flesh wounds). Critically, the statistics say that the risk of dying from being shot by a rogue police sniper the second time around is the same whether your at the apartment block (a 45 minute ambulance journey from the hospital) or at the hospital block (where all the surgeons are).

You know what? I'd still rather be shot by a rogue police sniper at the hospital block.

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