My "yes" is based on the assumption that no economic alternative to petroleum is found. Given the deterioration of the country's public transport infrastructure, without cheap, prevalent personal transportation, and with communication becoming more expensive because of energy/plastics costs, it would be impractical to keep a country that physical size together.
In 2012 we'll temporarily have a three party system. The Tea Party and the Republicans will split the right wing vote at the presidential level giving Obama the win, but the Tea Party will pick up a bunch of congressional seats.
Once there, they'll have just enough votes to fuck with the agendas of both the Republicans and the Democrats, which will force both primary parties to work together more rationally than they have lately - particularly since the original Republican plan was to use these people for votes, not to really get untrained and crazy outsiders into Capitol Hill.
This all sets up an interesting presidential race between Hilliary and some seriously moderate Republican challenger in 2016, as the GOP tries to repair itself and the Tea Party people go back to being marginalized and ignored by the general political class.
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I hope I'm wrong though, for many, many reasons.
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But what if the liberal states evicted the nuts....?
Re: But what if the liberal states evicted the nuts....?
Re: But what if the liberal states evicted the nuts....?
Re: But what if the liberal states evicted the nuts....?
Re: But what if the liberal states evicted the nuts....?
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Once there, they'll have just enough votes to fuck with the agendas of both the Republicans and the Democrats, which will force both primary parties to work together more rationally than they have lately - particularly since the original Republican plan was to use these people for votes, not to really get untrained and crazy outsiders into Capitol Hill.
This all sets up an interesting presidential race between Hilliary and some seriously moderate Republican challenger in 2016, as the GOP tries to repair itself and the Tea Party people go back to being marginalized and ignored by the general political class.
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the US will suck in 20 years, but it won't break up, breaking up countries is so 19th century.
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It all depends on how the Tea Party do.
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