[identity profile] rm.livejournal.com 2010-10-11 01:59 pm (UTC)(link)
My "no" is not a vote of optimism. Rather, it is based in a sense of gridlock and cowardice defining the US political system.

[identity profile] cartesiandaemon.livejournal.com 2010-10-11 02:03 pm (UTC)(link)
Ooh, another easy one :)

[identity profile] andrewhickey.livejournal.com 2010-10-11 02:12 pm (UTC)(link)
My "yes" is based on the assumption that no economic alternative to petroleum is found. Given the deterioration of the country's public transport infrastructure, without cheap, prevalent personal transportation, and with communication becoming more expensive because of energy/plastics costs, it would be impractical to keep a country that physical size together.

I hope I'm wrong though, for many, many reasons.

[identity profile] ninebelow.livejournal.com 2010-10-11 02:46 pm (UTC)(link)
The US is fragmented and will continue to be so.

[identity profile] bart-calendar.livejournal.com 2010-10-11 02:48 pm (UTC)(link)
In 2012 we'll temporarily have a three party system. The Tea Party and the Republicans will split the right wing vote at the presidential level giving Obama the win, but the Tea Party will pick up a bunch of congressional seats.

Once there, they'll have just enough votes to fuck with the agendas of both the Republicans and the Democrats, which will force both primary parties to work together more rationally than they have lately - particularly since the original Republican plan was to use these people for votes, not to really get untrained and crazy outsiders into Capitol Hill.

This all sets up an interesting presidential race between Hilliary and some seriously moderate Republican challenger in 2016, as the GOP tries to repair itself and the Tea Party people go back to being marginalized and ignored by the general political class.

[identity profile] eatsoylentgreen.livejournal.com 2010-10-11 03:30 pm (UTC)(link)
no. and snicker.

the US will suck in 20 years, but it won't break up, breaking up countries is so 19th century.

[identity profile] gonzo21.livejournal.com 2010-10-11 03:59 pm (UTC)(link)
I think it depends on the result of their next election. If Sarah Palin runs, and ever gets into office, then I think a breakup is inevitable.

It all depends on how the Tea Party do.

[identity profile] sageautumn.livejournal.com 2010-10-11 07:12 pm (UTC)(link)
I think 20 years is too quick for much of anything to happen here.