I don't think it takes psychic ability or any great awareness to see that the probability is that the situation in Iraq is rapidly worsening and thus almost certain to continue to worsen before it improves. Any change is going to cause new problems before it results in new solutions, thats inevitable. There will be power struggles, the usual confusions of handover etc.
Basically we don't know if it would get worse or better. They are there to reduce oil output and increase oil prices - once that gambit proves too risky for the financial benefit then they'll pull out and not a single day before.
Longer term yes, it is hard to say, but as explained there are many perfectly clear and obvious reasons why the immediateconsequence of immediate withdrawal could only possibly be a short term worsening of the situation.
Re: Oil, the whole war was about Oil, as was the invasion of Afghanistan.
Have you noticed that Opium/Heroin production is hugely increased in both countries since invasion too?
![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
no subject
no subject
no subject
Re: Oil, the whole war was about Oil, as was the invasion of Afghanistan.
Have you noticed that Opium/Heroin production is hugely increased in both countries since invasion too?